{"id":13926,"date":"2014-04-24T23:30:20","date_gmt":"2014-04-24T13:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/?p=13926"},"modified":"2014-04-26T21:30:56","modified_gmt":"2014-04-26T11:30:56","slug":"the-prognosticator-2014-checklist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/?p=13926","title":{"rendered":"The Prognosticator 2014 Checklist"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"prognosticator\"<\/a><\/p>\n

TFW readers with long(ish) memories might recall that at the start of the decade, I made some predictions for the next ten years covering a range of topics including politics, science, technology and for The FAT Website itself.\u00a0 You can read that full blog here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

We\u2019re 4\/10th of the way to 2020 and its time for a check-in.\u00a0 As you\u2019ll see, I\u2019ve gotten a few more right.\u00a0 Other predictions\u2026not looking so good.<\/p>\n

The FAT Website<\/strong><\/p>\n

1.\u00a0 The FAT Website will have 3D visuals.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far<\/em><\/span><\/strong>.<\/span>\u00a0 Not even close.\u00a0 Although The FAT Website had its first layout update in four years, I’m pretty sure this one is not going to happen \ud83d\ude41<\/em><\/p>\n

\"tfwscreenshot\"<\/a><\/p>\n

2.\u00a0 The FAT Website will still be running.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: On track<\/em><\/span><\/strong>.<\/span>\u00a0 Our fourteenth year, baby.<\/em><\/p>\n

3. Four TFW bloggers will get married.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far<\/span>.<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0 Slight shift towards ‘yes’ with Matt getting engaged.\u00a0 Need another couple to step up their game.<\/em><\/p>\n

Politics<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"jgill\"<\/a><\/p>\n

4.\u00a0 Australia will have a female prime minister.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: CORRECT<\/em><\/span><\/strong> Julia Gillard stabbed her own party leader Kevin Rudd in the back and assumed the mantle of Prime Minister of Australia without an election.\u00a0 Good job!\u00a0 She has since been booted out in an act of Kevenge and then Rudd went on to get thrashed at the last election by Tony Abbott.\u00a0 Nice one Labor.<\/em><\/p>\n

5.\u00a0 Australia won\u2019t legalize gay marriage.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER:\u00a0 Not so far.<\/em><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0 I believe we will have a conservative government for at least another term so I think this prediction will (sadly) hold true.<\/em><\/p>\n

6.\u00a0 Australia will get a mandatory Internet censorship filter.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far<\/em><\/span><\/strong>.<\/em><\/span> Senator Conroy’s net filter was crushed and happily, the Libs don’t look like bringing it back!<\/em><\/p>\n

7.\u00a0 Australia will get an R-18 video game rating.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER:\u00a0 CORRECT<\/span>\u00a0 <\/em><\/strong>Australia finally joined the 21st Century and there is an R-18 rating as of 2013.\u00a0 Although in practise<\/strong><\/a>, we still have plenty of stuff censored.\u00a0 Booo!<\/em><\/p>\n

\"obamawins\"<\/a><\/p>\n

8.\u00a0 Barack Obama to win a second term as American President.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER:\u00a0 CORRECT In 2011<\/a><\/em><\/strong> I said Obama would \u201clikely be up against Romney and that he would beat him\u201d.\u00a0 I was right.\u00a0 Four more years!\u00a0 I feel like updating this one with the super safe additional prediction that Hillary Clinton will be the next president but I think everybody already knows that.<\/em><\/p>\n

***New prediction:\u00a0 Hillary Clinton will win the 2016 US Presidential Election***<\/em><\/p>\n

9.\u00a0 Labor Party will be in power in the UK in 2020.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER:\u00a0 Not so far<\/span>.\u00a0 <\/em><\/strong>I haven’t really followed British politics in a while and have no idea how David Cameron is doing these days.<\/em><\/p>\n

Health & Science<\/strong><\/p>\n

10.\u00a0 Scientists will successfully clone a human being.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far.<\/em><\/span><\/strong> I don\u2019t know what crackpot science fiction movie I was watching when I wrote this but I\u2019m 99% sure there isn\u2019t a remote chance of this happening.<\/em><\/p>\n

11.\u00a0 We will still be globally dependent on fossil fuels by 2020.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: On track.<\/em><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0 A pretty safe bet to make in retrospect.<\/em><\/p>\n

12.\u00a0 Scientists will develop a vaccine for HIV.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far<\/span>.<\/em><\/strong> Although every month Reddit claims there is some amazing new clinical trial that will change everything.<\/em><\/p>\n

Sports<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"raheemsterling\"<\/a><\/p>\n

13.\u00a0 A team other than Chelsea, Manchester United or Arsenal will win the English Premiere League.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: CORRECT<\/em><\/span><\/strong> Not only was I correct with Man City winning the title, but now Liverpool look pretty good value for becoming a non-Chelsea\/Man Utd\/Arsenal team to win the title.\u00a0 How things change!<\/em><\/p>\n

\"bolt\"<\/a><\/p>\n

14.\u00a0 A man will run 100 metres in under 9.5 seconds.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far.<\/em><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0 I think Bolt is winding down nowadays so this is looking like a bit of a long shot.<\/em><\/p>\n

15.\u00a0 Scotland will qualify for a World Cup.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far.<\/em><\/span><\/strong> Only the Russian World Cup in 2018 left for this to happen \ud83d\ude41<\/em><\/p>\n

Media & Technology<\/strong><\/p>\n

16.\u00a0 3D Televisions will become the standard.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far.<\/em><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0 3D movies are still around but no one I know has a 3D TV.\u00a0 Seems like a bit of a dumb prediction in retrospect.<\/em><\/p>\n

17.\u00a0 Most people will download movies instead of purchasing them in a store.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: On track.<\/em><\/span><\/strong> This is kind of idiotic but I can’t remember which website I was using that tracks digital download vs physical sales.\u00a0 I’m pretty sure this has already happened but I can’t find a website to confirm.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"cdstore\"<\/a><\/p>\n

18.\u00a0 The Audio CD will cease production this decade.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: Not so far.<\/em><\/span><\/strong> My local JB HiFi still has a CD section and its still surprisingly large 0_o<\/em><\/p>\n

\"starwarsposter\"<\/a><\/p>\n

19.\u00a0 Someone will make a film that costs half a billion dollars to produce ($US).
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: On track<\/span>.<\/em><\/strong> I’m actually surprised this hasn’t happened yet but I feel pretty confident that Star Wars or Avatar 2 should see this milestone crossed.<\/em><\/p>\n

20.\u00a0 Facebook will still be the most popular social networking site by 2020.
\nPREDICTION TRACKER: On track<\/span>.<\/em><\/strong> Is it me or was there no new social media websites last year?<\/em><\/p>\n

Scorecard<\/strong><\/p>\n

20 Predictions made<\/strong><\/p>\n

I’m still on track to get about half of these predictions correct and although I haven’t got anything conclusively wrong, its not looking great for getting much more than 50%.<\/p>\n

4 Correct<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

0 Wrong<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

5 On Track<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

11 Not So Far<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Updates from previous years<\/strong><\/p>\n

Prognosticator Checklist 2013<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Prognosticator Checklist 2012<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Prognosticator Checklist 2011<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Original Predictions from 2010<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The FAT Website made twenty predictions at the start of the decade. How are they faring?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":13290,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[745],"class_list":["post-13926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-prognosticator"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13926"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13926\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14061,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13926\/revisions\/14061"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thefatwebsite.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}